Saturday, July 9, 2016

Airlines Sector:

  • Air travel rises with a country’s wealth.
  • India is currently 9th largest civil aviation market in the world.
  • Domestic seats per capita
    • India = 0.08
    • Brazil = 0.5
    • Thailand = 0.5
    • Indonesia = 0.5
    • China = 0.7
    • Canada = 1.6
    • USA = 2.6

  • India is slated to become 3rd largest aviation market by CY2020 and The Largest by CY 2030.
  • Lower cost of air travel, narrowing rail-air fare discount coupled with stable / low fuel cost are WIN-WIN situation for passengers and airline companies
  • In Q4 FY16, Indian domestic passenger traffic grew 23.5% ankilod International passenger by 7.8%.
  • The Aviation turbine fuel (ATF) stood at Rs.40161 per kilo litre in Q4 FY16 (down 25% YOY). ATF accounts for 40% of the operation cost.
  • Indigo is market leader with 34% market share. It is expected to grow at 12% over the next decade. Inspite of reporting consistent profits for the past seven years, Indigo reported flat growth in net profit at Rs.579.31 Crores (vs 577.3 Cr an year ago)
  • Spicejet reported net profit of Rs.9.50 Crores vs net loss of Rs.38.84 crores.
  • Net sales of Jet Airways grew 4%, Indigo 7% and spicejet 86%.
  • Government’s efforts to revive 50 low cost / no-frills airports across India in the next 3 years can be the game changes for Indian aviation industry.
  • Ability of airlines to stay profitable depends on its ability to pass on the increasing cost of fuel on to the customers.
  • Till such time crude hovers below US$ 60, airlines may be a story worth watching. But beyond that as the wealth (per capital income goes up), airlines is set to fly high.

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