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Airlines Sector:
- Air travel rises with a country’s
wealth.
- India is currently 9th
largest civil aviation market in the world.
- Domestic seats per capita
- India = 0.08
- Brazil = 0.5
- Thailand = 0.5
- Indonesia = 0.5
- China = 0.7
- Canada = 1.6
- USA = 2.6
- India is slated to become 3rd
largest aviation market by CY2020 and The Largest by CY 2030.
- Lower cost of air travel,
narrowing rail-air fare discount coupled with stable / low fuel cost are
WIN-WIN situation for passengers and airline companies
- In Q4 FY16, Indian domestic
passenger traffic grew 23.5% ankilod International passenger by 7.8%.
- The Aviation turbine fuel (ATF)
stood at Rs.40161 per kilo litre in Q4 FY16 (down 25% YOY). ATF accounts for
40% of the operation cost.
- Indigo is market leader with 34%
market share. It is expected to grow at 12% over the next decade. Inspite of
reporting consistent profits for the past seven years, Indigo reported flat
growth in net profit at Rs.579.31 Crores (vs 577.3 Cr an year ago)
- Spicejet reported net profit of
Rs.9.50 Crores vs net loss of Rs.38.84 crores.
- Net sales of Jet Airways grew 4%,
Indigo 7% and spicejet 86%.
- Government’s efforts to revive 50
low cost / no-frills airports across India in the next 3 years can be the game
changes for Indian aviation industry.
- Ability of airlines to stay
profitable depends on its ability to pass on the increasing cost of fuel on to
the customers.
- Till such time crude hovers below
US$ 60, airlines may be a story worth watching. But beyond that as the wealth (per capital income goes up), airlines is set to fly high.
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