India is currently 9th
largest civil aviation market in the world.
Domestic seats per capita
India = 0.08
Brazil = 0.5
Thailand = 0.5
Indonesia = 0.5
China = 0.7
Canada = 1.6
USA = 2.6
India is slated to become 3rd
largest aviation market by CY2020 and The Largest by CY 2030.
Lower cost of air travel,
narrowing rail-air fare discount coupled with stable / low fuel cost are
WIN-WIN situation for passengers and airline companies
In Q4 FY16, Indian domestic
passenger traffic grew 23.5% ankilod International passenger by 7.8%.
The Aviation turbine fuel (ATF)
stood at Rs.40161 per kilo litre in Q4 FY16 (down 25% YOY). ATF accounts for
40% of the operation cost.
Indigo is market leader with 34%
market share. It is expected to grow at 12% over the next decade. Inspite of
reporting consistent profits for the past seven years, Indigo reported flat
growth in net profit at Rs.579.31 Crores (vs 577.3 Cr an year ago)
Spicejet reported net profit of
Rs.9.50 Crores vs net loss of Rs.38.84 crores.
Net sales of Jet Airways grew 4%,
Indigo 7% and spicejet 86%.
Government’s efforts to revive 50
low cost / no-frills airports across India in the next 3 years can be the game
changes for Indian aviation industry.
Ability of airlines to stay
profitable depends on its ability to pass on the increasing cost of fuel on to
the customers.
Till such time crude hovers below
US$ 60, airlines may be a story worth watching. But beyond that as the wealth (per capital income goes up), airlines is set to fly high.
Mr.Ram is CEO of EASY Investments in Madurai, India. With a decade of diverse experience in Indian securities market, Mr.Ram's expertise is used by many to make wise investment decisions. Based in India, Mr.Ram serves clients in India and abroad.
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